Oil Should Be $200 A Barrel Right Now — The Reason It Isn't Is Far Worse Than The War

Welcome to Impact Theory with Tom Bilyeu. In today’s deep dive, Tom unpacks why economic analysts missed the mark when predicting oil prices amid the ongoing war in Iran. Despite forecasts of oil soaring to $200 a barrel, prices unexpectedly plummeted—even as major shipping routes were disrupted and military tensions escalated. Tom takes us through a detailed timeline of the conflict, examines the surprising role of China’s shrinking oil demand, and reveals how outdated economic assumptions failed to account for a global downturn already brewing beneath the headlines. By connecting supply, demand, and the hidden frailties of both the Chinese and U.S. economies, Tom explains why falling demand—not war or supply shocks—now holds the key to understanding the global market’s future. Whether you’re an investor, entrepreneur, or simply curious about the forces shaping our world, this episode exposes the deeper story behind today’s economic anxiety and offers practical strategies for navigating uncertain times. Sign up for my AI Masterclass: https://tombilyeu.com/ai-masterclass?utm_campaign=TBS-Livestream&utm_source=you tube&utm_medium=social Check us out wherever you get your podcasts: Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/1nARKz2vTIOb7gC9dusE4b?si=a8daffd2bf1f48fd Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/tom-bilyeus-impact-theory/id1191775648 Do you need my help STARTING a business? Join me here inside ZERO TO FOUNDER: ( https://tombilyeu.com/zero-to-founder ) Get the exact systems, mindset shifts, and principles that built a $1B brand delivered straight to your inbox every week. Subscribe for free (https://tombilyeu.com) Check out our Video game - Project Kyzen: ( https://projectkyzen.io/) Catch Me Streaming on Twitch - ( https://twitch.tv/tombilyeu ) Link to IT discord: https://discord.gg/TZKJ2etPbT Tom's Favorite Things List: https://amzn.to/41Ftt7e For Business inquiries: connect@impacttheory.com FOLLOW TOM: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/tombilyeu/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/tombilyeu YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TomBilyeu Quince : Free shipping and 365-day returns at https://quince.com/impactpod Whatnot : Download the Whatnot app today and get free shipping on your first order. Ketone IQ: Visit https://ketone.com/IMPACT for 30% OFF your subscription order ATT Business : Switch to AT&T Business at business.att.com Incogni : Take your personal data back with Incogni! Use code IMPACT at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/impact Pique: 20% off at https://piquelife.com/impact Netsuite: Right now, get our free business guide, Demystifying AI, at https://NetSuite.com/Theory See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info .